Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 14:19
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE Wire to wire XB/TT 1.34.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 5.1 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.1 | N |
| 4 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B-/SR- Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 72.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TIMES TABLE Closed strongly CP B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BEATO Closed strongly V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GENERAL SMART B/XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 156.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES B-/V1/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 101.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | LITTLE SQUID E1/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 65.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 2 | 91.0 | 29-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 4 over 1600m. GOOD LUCK BABE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by SH, with MATSU VICTOR second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite BEAUTY VIVA finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA | 16.9% | 5.90 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BEATO | 14.9% | 6.70 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR | 10.5% | 9.55 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 9.9% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.5% | 13.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 4.5% | 22.45 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | PING HAI COMET | 3.7% | 26.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES | 2.9% | 34.56 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | TIMES TABLE | 2.1% | 48.01 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | LITTLE SQUID | 1.3% | 79.68 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH | 1.1% | 87.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | GENERAL SMART | 1.1% | 93.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 51.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 35.5
6 20.5
QUINELLA
3,4 242.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75.5
3,6 68
4,6 122.5
FORECAST
3,4 380
TIERCE
3,4,6 2,037
TRIO
3,4,6 452
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 1,025
QUARTET
3,4,6,12 14,924
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/3,4,6 3,430
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 108
9/4 43.5