沙田 · 2025-04-06 · 06:20
第 4場
2025-04-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米。由K Teetan策騎、D Eustace訓練的GOOD LUCK BABE勝出，贏出SH。MATSU VICTOR獲得亞軍；ORIENTAL SMOKE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.3倍大熱門BEAUTY VIVA跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE 一路領先 XB/TT 1.34.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 5.1 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR 後段發力 B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.1 | N |
| 4 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA 後段發力 B-/SR- Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | PING HAI COMET 後段發力 H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 72.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | TIMES TABLE 後段發力 CP B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BEATO 後段發力 V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GENERAL SMART B/XB/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 156.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES B-/V1/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 101.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | LITTLE SQUID E1/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 65.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 2 | 91.0 | 29-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA | 16.9% | 5.90 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BEATO | 14.9% | 6.70 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR | 10.5% | 9.55 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 9.9% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.5% | 13.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 4.5% | 22.45 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | PING HAI COMET | 3.7% | 26.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES | 2.9% | 34.56 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | TIMES TABLE | 2.1% | 48.01 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | LITTLE SQUID | 1.3% | 79.68 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | VICTORY PATCH | 1.1% | 87.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | GENERAL SMART | 1.1% | 93.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 51.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 35.5
6 20.5
QUINELLA
3,4 242.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75.5
3,6 68
4,6 122.5
FORECAST
3,4 380
TIERCE
3,4,6 2,037
TRIO
3,4,6 452
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 1,025
QUARTET
3,4,6,12 14,924
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/3,4,6 3,430
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 108
9/4 43.5