沙田 · 2025-04-06 · 08:45
第 8場
2025-04-06沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米。由K Teetan策騎、F C Lor訓練的MR COOL勝出，贏出1/2。ETALON OR獲得亞軍；SHAMUS STORM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門SHAMUS STORM跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MR COOL 後段發力 TT 1.21.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B/TT- A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM 後段發力 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | RAGING RAPIDS 後段發力 TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | ROMAN CROWN B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 4 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED 後段發力 Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 7 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CELESTIAL PATCH 後段發力 XB1/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 10 | 77.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 14 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 13 | 122.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB 早段領放 H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 7.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | AUTUMN VIBES 後段發力 SB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 7.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SPORTIC WARRIOR H- H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 5 | 231.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | VIEW ALL THINGS M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MISSION VOICE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MR COOL | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | AUTUMN VIBES | 15.1% | 6.61 | 12 |
| 3 | 2 | KA YING SUPERB | 13.4% | 7.46 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | ETALON OR | 10.8% | 9.30 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM | 8.9% | 11.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | RAGING RAPIDS | 8.2% | 12.24 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | CARRYON SMILING | 5.9% | 16.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED | 4.7% | 21.16 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | FUN TOGETHER | 4.7% | 21.36 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 4.0% | 24.79 | 14 |
| 11 | 6 | ROMAN CROWN | 2.9% | 34.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 1.6% | 62.42 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 1.2% | 83.44 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 0.7% | 145.90 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 55.5
PLACE
4 23.5
7 18
9 22.5
QUINELLA
4,9 253
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 60.5
4,9 91
7,9 72.5
FORECAST
9,4 440
TIERCE
9,4,7 2,005
TRIO
4,7,9 377
FIRST 4
4,7,9,11 872
QUARTET
9,4,7,11 15,485
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/4,7,9 2,939
7TH DOUBLE
5/4 23.5
5/9 70.5