沙田 · 2025-04-06 · 07:45
第 6場
2025-04-06沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、D J Hall訓練的GENEVA勝出，贏出1-1/4。LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得亞軍；LO PAN SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GENEVA 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BLAZING WIND CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 77.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | TARGET AUDIENCE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB1 M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 3 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING OVATION TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FREE PONY SR/H1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 141.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | KING OF DUBAI TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 10 | 63.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | WONDERSTAR B P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GENIUS BABY K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 126.0 | 7 |
| — | 14 | LEGENDARY IMPACT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 32.7% | 3.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | GENEVA | 20.5% | 4.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING OVATION | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.71 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 4.4% | 22.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 2.3% | 43.36 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 2.2% | 46.01 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | BLAZING WIND | 2.2% | 46.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | KING OF DUBAI | 2.1% | 48.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | GENIUS BABY | 1.7% | 58.88 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | WONDERSTAR | 1.2% | 83.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | FREE PONY | 0.8% | 120.86 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 13.5
8 17
QUINELLA
1,3 42.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 20
1,8 28
3,8 30.5
FORECAST
3,1 84
TIERCE
3,1,8 242
TRIO
1,3,8 56
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 263
QUARTET
3,1,8,5 2,781
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,3,8,14 25,584
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 193
12/3,14 892
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,6/1,4,12/1,3,8,14 1,231,646
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,6/1,4,12/Any Combination 22,197