沙田 · 2025-04-06 · 07:15
第 5場
2025-04-06沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Thompson策騎、D Eustace訓練的SEA SAPPHIRE勝出，贏出N。AKASHVANI獲得亞軍；LUCKY ARCHANGEL獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門AKASHVANI跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT 1.09.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 9 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | AKASHVANI L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | STAR FIGURE CP1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FLASH CURRENT TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY KING B/H1/XB1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 87.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 10 | 174.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 54.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | JOYFUL TREASURE B/XB J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 11 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LEGEND STAR TT1 L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 13 | 117.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT CP1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | AFFIRM V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.2 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AFFIRM | 25.8% | 3.88 | 14 |
| 2 | 1 | AKASHVANI | 19.2% | 5.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | FLASH CURRENT | 12.3% | 8.12 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | SIGHT DREAMER | 9.5% | 10.51 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUNNY SING SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.80 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.0% | 16.72 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | LEGEND STAR | 3.5% | 28.87 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | STAR FIGURE | 3.0% | 32.85 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 2.7% | 36.42 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 2.7% | 36.69 | 1 |
| 11 | 14 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.6% | 39.12 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.79 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY KING | 1.3% | 76.94 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 1.2% | 83.73 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 135.5
PLACE
1 15
4 47
12 38.5
QUINELLA
1,12 309.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 132
1,12 95
4,12 453.5
FORECAST
12,1 844
TIERCE
12,1,4 14,641
TRIO
1,4,12 1,986
FIRST 4
1,4,9,12 3,351
QUARTET
12,1,4,9 96,396
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/3/1 136
9/3/12 4,861
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 35.5
3/12 1,166