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Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 06:45

Race 1

Class 5 2000m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 5 over 2000m. CHATEAU LE PECHE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with JOYFUL CHAMPION second and GOLDEN FAIRY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SUPER HONG KONG finished 4th.

Result

Official · 2.02.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B 2.02.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K H Ting 2 4.0 SH
2 9 JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 1 9.4 SH
3 11 GOLDEN FAIRY Led early L Hewitson · W Y So 12 20.0 3/4
4 8 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 11 3.7 1-1/4
5 1 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT- H Bowman · J Size 6 8.0 2-1/2
6 14 LEATHER MASTER V-/CP1 A Badel · K L Man 14 10.0 3
7 10 GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Hall 9 15.0 4-1/4
8 7 SMART ZIPANG Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · W Y So 7 134.0 5-1/2
9 13 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 13 50.0 6
10 2 CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B J Orman · P F Yiu 8 13.0 6
11 5 SKYEY BLUE TT K C Leung · C W Chang 3 45.0 7-1/2
12 4 IVICTORIAM TT B Thompson · J Richards 5 9.0 10
13 3 SUPER TREASURE B Y L Chung · K H Ting 4 98.0 14-3/4
14 6 ORIENTAL TYCOON B A Hamelin · C W Chang 10 112.0 18-1/4
0 ON THE LASH A Atzeni · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHATEAU LE PECHE2. JOYFUL CHAMPION+0.1L3. GOLDEN FAIRY+0.75L4. SUPER HONG KONG+1.25L5. PERFECT PAIRING+2.5L6. LEATHER MASTER+3L7. GOLD TACK+4.25L8. SMART ZIPANG+5.5L9. TURTLE AGAIN+6L10. CHILLI BABA+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CHATEAU LE PECHE (19.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 CHATEAU LE PECHE 19.8% 5.06 1
2 8 SUPER HONG KONG 17.7% 5.64 4
3 1 PERFECT PAIRING 10.7% 9.37 5
4 2 CHILLI BABA 8.6% 11.69 10
5 10 GOLD TACK 7.4% 13.54 7
6 4 IVICTORIAM 6.6% 15.22 12
7 14 LEATHER MASTER 6.3% 15.92 6
8 11 GOLDEN FAIRY 5.7% 17.53 3
9 13 TURTLE AGAIN 4.9% 20.29 9
10 5 SKYEY BLUE 3.1% 31.76 11
11 9 JOYFUL CHAMPION 2.6% 39.00 2
12 6 ORIENTAL TYCOON 2.5% 39.58 14
13 3 SUPER TREASURE 2.3% 44.29 13
14 7 SMART ZIPANG 1.9% 52.24 8
CHATEAU LE PECHE — wonSUPER HONG KONGPERFECT PAIRINGCHILLI BABAGOLD TACKIVICTORIAMLEATHER MASTERGOLDEN FAIRYTURTLE AGAINSKYEY BLUEJOYFUL CHAMPIONORIENTAL TYCOONSUPER TREASURESMART ZIPANG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 40

PLACE

9 28.5

11 52.5

12 16.5

QUINELLA

9,12 194.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 353

9,12 69.5

11,12 158

FORECAST

12,9 364

TIERCE

12,9,11 6,073

TRIO

9,11,12 1,437

FIRST 4

8,9,11,12 960

QUARTET

12,9,11,8 24,733