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Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 12:46

Race 1

Class 5 2000m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 2.02.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B 2.02.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K H Ting 2 4.0 SH
2 9 JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 1 9.4 SH
3 11 GOLDEN FAIRY Led early L Hewitson · W Y So 12 20.0 3/4
4 8 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 11 3.7 1-1/4
5 1 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT- H Bowman · J Size 6 8.0 2-1/2
6 14 LEATHER MASTER V-/CP1 A Badel · K L Man 14 10.0 3
7 10 GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Hall 9 15.0 4-1/4
8 7 SMART ZIPANG Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · W Y So 7 134.0 5-1/2
9 13 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 13 50.0 6
10 2 CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B J Orman · P F Yiu 8 13.0 6
11 5 SKYEY BLUE TT K C Leung · C W Chang 3 45.0 7-1/2
12 4 IVICTORIAM TT B Thompson · J Richards 5 9.0 10
13 3 SUPER TREASURE B Y L Chung · K H Ting 4 98.0 14-3/4
14 6 ORIENTAL TYCOON B A Hamelin · C W Chang 10 112.0 18-1/4
— 0 ON THE LASH A Atzeni · P C Ng — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 5 over 2000m. CHATEAU LE PECHE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with JOYFUL CHAMPION second and GOLDEN FAIRY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SUPER HONG KONG finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHATEAU LE PECHE—2. JOYFUL CHAMPION+0.1L3. GOLDEN FAIRY+0.75L4. SUPER HONG KONG+1.25L5. PERFECT PAIRING+2.5L6. LEATHER MASTER+3L7. GOLD TACK+4.25L8. SMART ZIPANG+5.5L9. TURTLE AGAIN+6L10. CHILLI BABA+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CHATEAU LE PECHE (19.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 CHATEAU LE PECHE 19.8% 5.06 1
2 8 SUPER HONG KONG 17.7% 5.64 4
3 1 PERFECT PAIRING 10.7% 9.37 5
4 2 CHILLI BABA 8.6% 11.69 10
5 10 GOLD TACK 7.4% 13.54 7
6 4 IVICTORIAM 6.6% 15.22 12
7 14 LEATHER MASTER 6.3% 15.92 6
8 11 GOLDEN FAIRY 5.7% 17.53 3
9 13 TURTLE AGAIN 4.9% 20.29 9
10 5 SKYEY BLUE 3.1% 31.76 11
11 9 JOYFUL CHAMPION 2.6% 39.00 2
12 6 ORIENTAL TYCOON 2.5% 39.58 14
13 3 SUPER TREASURE 2.3% 44.29 13
14 7 SMART ZIPANG 1.9% 52.24 8
CHATEAU LE PECHE — wonSUPER HONG KONGPERFECT PAIRINGCHILLI BABAGOLD TACKIVICTORIAMLEATHER MASTERGOLDEN FAIRYTURTLE AGAINSKYEY BLUEJOYFUL CHAMPIONORIENTAL TYCOONSUPER TREASURESMART ZIPANG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 40

PLACE

9 28.5

11 52.5

12 16.5

QUINELLA

9,12 194.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 353

9,12 69.5

11,12 158

FORECAST

12,9 364

TIERCE

12,9,11 6,073

TRIO

9,11,12 1,437

FIRST 4

8,9,11,12 960

QUARTET

12,9,11,8 24,733