Sha Tin · 2025-04-06 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKY JEWELLERY Closed strongly 1.34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 8.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT J Orman · T P Yung | J Orman | T P Yung | 12 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B/H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHING B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | LUPO SOLITARIO CP L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 14 | 117.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | SOLID WIN TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCK IS BACK TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 1 | 127.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | GHORGAN P-/XB1/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 11 | 166.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 3 | 31.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | DRAGON JOY SR/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-06 was Class 3 over 1600m. SKY JEWELLERY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 2, with MORGAN SUCCESS second and STAR MAC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKY JEWELLERY | 35.6% | 2.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 9.3% | 10.78 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | FLYING LUCK | 8.5% | 11.73 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | STAR MAC | 7.1% | 14.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SOLID WIN | 6.5% | 15.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 6.4% | 15.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | CHING | 5.8% | 17.36 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | DRAGON JOY | 5.6% | 17.83 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE | 4.4% | 22.71 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | THE BEST PEACH | 3.1% | 32.01 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 3.0% | 33.02 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 2.6% | 38.89 | 4 |
| 13 | 5 | LUCK IS BACK | 1.2% | 81.64 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | GHORGAN | 0.9% | 115.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 15.5
PLACE
3 19.5
9 10.5
12 79.5
QUINELLA
9,12 248.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 26
3,12 342
9,12 101
FORECAST
9,12 329
TIERCE
9,12,3 1,934
TRIO
3,9,12 515
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 3,042
QUARTET
9,12,3,2 42,008
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
9/2/9 279
9/2/12 1,909
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/3,9,12 23,291
9TH DOUBLE
2/9 45.5
2/12 244
SIX UP
1,12/1,3,14/1,5/4,9/2,7/9,12 394
12/3,14/5/9/2/9 54,176
4 [B Avdulla] —
2 [D Eustace] —