沙田 · 2025-04-13 · 07:10
第 6場
2025-04-13沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的WITH A SMILE勝出，贏出SH。MAX QUE獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT MIGHTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WITH A SMILE 後段發力 TT 1.21.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 3.1 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | MAX QUE 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 14 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LESLIE 後段發力 B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 後段發力 XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 8 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ZETTA FORCE B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | HE WAS ME B-/H-/V1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 63.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GLUCK RACER 後段發力 H-/B A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 10 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 143.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | POSITIVE SMILE 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | ACE TT1 J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 2 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE 早段領放 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | DRALA 後段發力 H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 65.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | CIRCUIT DUFFY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 28.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WITH A SMILE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | LESLIE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | ZETTA FORCE | 12.7% | 7.88 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | MAX QUE | 9.2% | 10.84 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 7.6% | 13.12 | 14 |
| 6 | 5 | POSITIVE SMILE | 5.5% | 18.28 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | ACE | 4.7% | 21.42 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 4.6% | 21.56 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | SECOND TO NONE | 4.4% | 22.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.0% | 24.98 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | GLUCK RACER | 3.5% | 28.47 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | DRALA | 3.0% | 32.80 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | HE WAS ME | 1.7% | 60.32 | 7 |
| 14 | 2 | C YEAH | 1.2% | 84.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 31.5
PLACE
8 15
10 19.5
13 33
QUINELLA
8,10 103
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 46
8,13 72.5
10,13 107.5
FORECAST
8,10 208
TIERCE
8,10,13 1,580
TRIO
8,10,13 409
FIRST 4
7,8,10,13 602
QUARTET
8,10,13,7 10,666
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/8 571.5
8/10 137