沙田 · 2025-04-13 · 05:35
第 3場
2025-04-13沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1200米。由M L Yeung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的WIND SPEEDER勝出，贏出3/4。SKY PROPHET獲得亞軍；CHEER FOR SOUTH獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門SKY PROPHET跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WIND SPEEDER B 1.10.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SKY PROPHET B-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STERLING WONGCHOY B/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION PC/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 9 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | HO HO STAR H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CIRCUIT TEN TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PODIUM TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 11 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FALCON COURT B-/V1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | COMMANDING MISSILE C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 15.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION | 12.7% | 7.90 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 11.7% | 8.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 10.6% | 9.42 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | WIND SPEEDER | 10.5% | 9.56 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | HO HO STAR | 10.2% | 9.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | CIRCUIT TEN | 9.8% | 10.21 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | PODIUM | 7.9% | 12.71 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | SKY PROPHET | 7.5% | 13.33 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | FALCON COURT | 6.1% | 16.53 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | MULTIDARLING | 5.4% | 18.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 4.2% | 23.75 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 3.5% | 28.39 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 92
PLACE
6 16.5
7 26
11 30.5
QUINELLA
6,11 270.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 72.5
6,11 89
7,11 125
FORECAST
11,6 532
TIERCE
11,6,7 5,033
TRIO
6,7,11 681
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 1,469
QUARTET
11,6,7,4 42,449
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/6,7,11 262,781
2ND DOUBLE
4/6 107
4/11 1,108.5