沙田 · 2025-04-13 · 08:45
第 9場
2025-04-13沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米。由C L Chau策騎、F C Lor訓練的DREAM WINNER勝出，贏出1-1/4。MAGIC HALLOW獲得亞軍；SPARKLING FELLOW獲得季軍。1.2倍大熱門JUSTIFYING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT 0.56.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 2 | 66.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MAGIC HALLOW XB/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 11 | 103.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SPARKLING FELLOW B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 13 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | JUSTIFYING TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 1.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS V/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 1 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER SR J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ONE MORE XB1 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 8 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | STAR SATYR H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 70.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | AURORA PATCH V M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | CALL TO COMMAND H/P/XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 139.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | HAYDAY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | BIG RETURN TT1 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 57.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FAST SPEED TT1 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 3 | 119.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUSTIFYING | 54.5% | 1.84 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 8.4% | 11.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | ONE MORE | 6.3% | 15.83 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN ELITE | 5.3% | 18.72 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | AURORA PATCH | 4.9% | 20.55 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | DREAM WINNER | 3.9% | 25.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 3.4% | 29.19 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | HAYDAY | 3.0% | 33.12 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | BIG RETURN | 2.7% | 37.61 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | FAST SPEED | 2.2% | 46.02 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | STAR SATYR | 2.1% | 48.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER | 1.9% | 51.56 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | MAGIC HALLOW | 0.9% | 105.63 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | CALL TO COMMAND | 0.4% | 230.24 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 663
PLACE
4 95.5
7 33
12 169.5
QUINELLA
4,12 25,905
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 717.5
4,12 4,242
7,12 1,155.5
FORECAST
4,12 49,241
TIERCE
4,12,7 739,695
TRIO
4,7,12 65,503
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 13,358
QUARTET
4,12,7,10 1,291,048
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/4,7,12 3,679,826
8TH DOUBLE
9/4 3,466
9/12 1,456