沙田 · 2025-04-13 · 09:55
第 11場
2025-04-13沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米。由H Bentley策騎、W Y So訓練的HONG LOK GOLF勝出，贏出HD。LIGHT YEARS CHARM獲得亞軍；ENDEARED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.9倍大熱門LIGHT YEARS CHARM跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HONG LOK GOLF 後段發力 TT 1.21.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 4.8 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM 後段發力 XB Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 11 | 1.9 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND 後段發力 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | REGAL GEM 後段發力 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | KA YING ATTACK M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SKY TRUST 後段發力 H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BALLISTIC WIN A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 SR-/V-/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 14 | 131.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | LEGENDARY IMPACT CP1/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 123.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 138.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | LEGENDARY YEARS A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 12 | 171.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 23.8% | 4.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | HONG LOK GOLF | 15.9% | 6.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | KA YING ATTACK | 14.0% | 7.13 | 7 |
| 4 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY | 10.8% | 9.25 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND | 7.0% | 14.33 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 6.9% | 14.42 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | ENDEARED | 6.6% | 15.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | BALLISTIC WIN | 4.4% | 22.87 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPREME AGILITY | 2.5% | 39.93 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | REGAL GEM | 2.4% | 41.27 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | SKY TRUST | 2.1% | 47.50 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | LEGENDARY YEARS | 1.6% | 62.97 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 1.5% | 68.91 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 0.5% | 185.34 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 48.5
PLACE
3 17.5
4 11.5
6 52.5
QUINELLA
3,4 47.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 21
3,6 161
4,6 79
FORECAST
3,4 131
TIERCE
3,4,6 1,513
TRIO
3,4,6 309
FIRST 4
3,4,6,13 970
QUARTET
3,4,6,13 15,314
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
9/3 171
9/4 19
2ND TREBLE
4/9/3 25,973
4/9/4 2,845
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,12/3,4,6 12,691
SIX UP
8,10/2,3/3,9/4,12/9,12/3,4 48,318
4 [K W Lui] —
6 [Y L Chung] —