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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 17:52

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly TT 1.21.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 5 4.8 HD
2 4 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D Eustace 11 1.9 HD
3 6 ENDEARED Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · J Size 10 22.0 1-1/4
4 13 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 14.0 2
5 2 CHARMING LEGEND Closed strongly H Bowman · C S Shum 6 17.0 2-3/4
6 8 REGAL GEM Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 8 27.0 3
7 9 KA YING ATTACK M F Poon · D J Hall 4 22.0 3-1/4
8 1 SKY TRUST Closed strongly H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 23.0 3-3/4
9 5 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham 7 9.2 4-1/4
10 12 BALLISTIC WIN A Atzeni · T P Yung 9 18.0 4-1/2
11 10 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly SR-/V-/TT P N Wong · P C Ng 14 131.0 6-1/4
12 14 LEGENDARY IMPACT CP1/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 3 123.0 7-1/2
13 11 SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 1 138.0 10
14 7 LEGENDARY YEARS A Hamelin · K L Man 12 171.0 14

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 3 over 1400m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with LIGHT YEARS CHARM second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite LIGHT YEARS CHARM finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HONG LOK GOLF—2. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+0.2L3. ENDEARED+1.25L4. BEAUTY GLORY+2L5. CHARMING LEGEND+2.75L6. REGAL GEM+3L7. KA YING ATTACK+3.25L8. SKY TRUST+3.75L9. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+4.25L10. BALLISTIC WIN+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LIGHT YEARS CHARM (23.8%) finished 2nd — the winner HONG LOK GOLF was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 23.8% 4.21 2
2 3 HONG LOK GOLF 15.9% 6.29 1
3 9 KA YING ATTACK 14.0% 7.13 7
4 13 BEAUTY GLORY 10.8% 9.25 4
5 2 CHARMING LEGEND 7.0% 14.33 5
6 5 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 6.9% 14.42 9
7 6 ENDEARED 6.6% 15.18 3
8 12 BALLISTIC WIN 4.4% 22.87 10
9 10 SUPREME AGILITY 2.5% 39.93 11
10 8 REGAL GEM 2.4% 41.27 6
11 1 SKY TRUST 2.1% 47.50 8
12 7 LEGENDARY YEARS 1.6% 62.97 14
13 14 LEGENDARY IMPACT 1.5% 68.91 12
14 11 SPEEDY TRIDENT 0.5% 185.34 13
LIGHT YEARS CHARMHONG LOK GOLF — wonKA YING ATTACKBEAUTY GLORYCHARMING LEGENDARMOUR WAR EAGLEENDEAREDBALLISTIC WINSUPREME AGILITYREGAL GEMSKY TRUSTLEGENDARY YEARSLEGENDARY IMPACTSPEEDY TRIDENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 48.5

PLACE

3 17.5

4 11.5

6 52.5

QUINELLA

3,4 47.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 21

3,6 161

4,6 79

FORECAST

3,4 131

TIERCE

3,4,6 1,513

TRIO

3,4,6 309

FIRST 4

3,4,6,13 970

QUARTET

3,4,6,13 15,314

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

9/3 171

9/4 19

2ND TREBLE

4/9/3 25,973

4/9/4 2,845

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,9,12/3,4,6 12,691

SIX UP

8,10/2,3/3,9/4,12/9,12/3,4 48,318

4 [K W Lui] —

6 [Y L Chung] —