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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 15:08

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 WITH A SMILE Closed strongly TT 1.21.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 12 3.1 SH
2 10 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 5.5 SH
3 13 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 14 11.0 1-3/4
4 7 LESLIE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang 1 7.2 2-3/4
5 1 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 8 13.0 3-3/4
6 11 ZETTA FORCE B C L Chau · T P Yung 9 5.7 3-3/4
7 6 HE WAS ME B-/H-/V1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 63.0 4-1/4
8 14 GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H-/B A Hamelin · W K Mo 10 39.0 5-1/4
9 2 C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting 13 143.0 5-1/2
10 5 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 13.0 5-1/2
11 9 ACE TT1 J Orman · J Richards 2 21.0 5-3/4
12 4 SECOND TO NONE Led early L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 49.0 6-1/2
13 12 DRALA Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu 7 65.0 10-1/2
14 3 CIRCUIT DUFFY M F Poon · F C Lor 6 28.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 4 over 1400m. WITH A SMILE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with MAX QUE second and CIRCUIT MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WITH A SMILE—2. MAX QUE+0.1L3. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+1.75L4. LESLIE+2.75L5. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+3.75L6. ZETTA FORCE+3.75L7. HE WAS ME+4.25L8. GLUCK RACER+5.25L9. C YEAH+5.5L10. POSITIVE SMILE+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick WITH A SMILE (21.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 WITH A SMILE 21.3% 4.69 1
2 7 LESLIE 16.5% 6.05 4
3 11 ZETTA FORCE 12.7% 7.88 6
4 10 MAX QUE 9.2% 10.84 2
5 3 CIRCUIT DUFFY 7.6% 13.12 14
6 5 POSITIVE SMILE 5.5% 18.28 10
7 9 ACE 4.7% 21.42 11
8 1 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.6% 21.56 5
9 4 SECOND TO NONE 4.4% 22.58 12
10 13 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 4.0% 24.98 3
11 14 GLUCK RACER 3.5% 28.47 8
12 12 DRALA 3.0% 32.80 13
13 6 HE WAS ME 1.7% 60.32 7
14 2 C YEAH 1.2% 84.55 9
WITH A SMILE — wonLESLIEZETTA FORCEMAX QUECIRCUIT DUFFYPOSITIVE SMILEACEACROSS DA UNIVERSESECOND TO NONECIRCUIT MIGHTYGLUCK RACERDRALAHE WAS MEC YEAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 31.5

PLACE

8 15

10 19.5

13 33

QUINELLA

8,10 103

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 46

8,13 72.5

10,13 107.5

FORECAST

8,10 208

TIERCE

8,10,13 1,580

TRIO

8,10,13 409

FIRST 4

7,8,10,13 602

QUARTET

8,10,13,7 10,666

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

8/8 571.5

8/10 137