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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 07:10

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 4 over 1400m. WITH A SMILE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with MAX QUE second and CIRCUIT MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 WITH A SMILE Closed strongly TT 1.21.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 12 3.1 SH
2 10 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 5.5 SH
3 13 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 14 11.0 1-3/4
4 7 LESLIE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang 1 7.2 2-3/4
5 1 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 8 13.0 3-3/4
6 11 ZETTA FORCE B C L Chau · T P Yung 9 5.7 3-3/4
7 6 HE WAS ME B-/H-/V1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 63.0 4-1/4
8 14 GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H-/B A Hamelin · W K Mo 10 39.0 5-1/4
9 2 C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting 13 143.0 5-1/2
10 5 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 13.0 5-1/2
11 9 ACE TT1 J Orman · J Richards 2 21.0 5-3/4
12 4 SECOND TO NONE Led early L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 49.0 6-1/2
13 12 DRALA Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu 7 65.0 10-1/2
14 3 CIRCUIT DUFFY M F Poon · F C Lor 6 28.0 13-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WITH A SMILE2. MAX QUE+0.1L3. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+1.75L4. LESLIE+2.75L5. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+3.75L6. ZETTA FORCE+3.75L7. HE WAS ME+4.25L8. GLUCK RACER+5.25L9. C YEAH+5.5L10. POSITIVE SMILE+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick WITH A SMILE (21.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 WITH A SMILE 21.3% 4.69 1
2 7 LESLIE 16.5% 6.05 4
3 11 ZETTA FORCE 12.7% 7.88 6
4 10 MAX QUE 9.2% 10.84 2
5 3 CIRCUIT DUFFY 7.6% 13.12 14
6 5 POSITIVE SMILE 5.5% 18.28 10
7 9 ACE 4.7% 21.42 11
8 1 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.6% 21.56 5
9 4 SECOND TO NONE 4.4% 22.58 12
10 13 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 4.0% 24.98 3
11 14 GLUCK RACER 3.5% 28.47 8
12 12 DRALA 3.0% 32.80 13
13 6 HE WAS ME 1.7% 60.32 7
14 2 C YEAH 1.2% 84.55 9
WITH A SMILE — wonLESLIEZETTA FORCEMAX QUECIRCUIT DUFFYPOSITIVE SMILEACEACROSS DA UNIVERSESECOND TO NONECIRCUIT MIGHTYGLUCK RACERDRALAHE WAS MEC YEAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 31.5

PLACE

8 15

10 19.5

13 33

QUINELLA

8,10 103

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 46

8,13 72.5

10,13 107.5

FORECAST

8,10 208

TIERCE

8,10,13 1,580

TRIO

8,10,13 409

FIRST 4

7,8,10,13 602

QUARTET

8,10,13,7 10,666

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

8/8 571.5

8/10 137