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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 06:35

Race 5

Class 2 1200m Course C 10 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 2 over 1200m. GUSTOSISIMO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with LADY'S CHOICE second and WHIZZ KID third. The 2.3 favourite GLORY ELITE finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.08.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 GUSTOSISIMO TT 1.08.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 9.3 3/4
2 5 LADY'S CHOICE B K Teetan · C W Chang 3 13.0 3/4
3 7 WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 1 61.0 1
4 6 GLORY ELITE H Z Purton · K H Ting 5 2.3 2-1/4
5 10 KAHOLO ANGEL TT A Badel · C Fownes 4 8.5 2-1/4
6 1 GORGEOUS WIN TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 10 11.0 3-1/2
7 4 BRAVE STAR XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 105.0 3-3/4
8 2 SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 69.0 4-1/2
9 9 STELLAR EXPRESS B A Hamelin · J Size 8 30.0 5-3/4
10 3 BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 2 3.0 33

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GUSTOSISIMO2. LADY'S CHOICE+0.75L3. WHIZZ KID+1L4. GLORY ELITE+2.25L5. KAHOLO ANGEL+2.25L6. GORGEOUS WIN+3.5L7. BRAVE STAR+3.75L8. SON PAK FU+4.5L9. STELLAR EXPRESS+5.75L10. BEAUTY DESTINY+33L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BEAUTY DESTINY (24.6%) finished 10th — the winner GUSTOSISIMO was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 BEAUTY DESTINY 24.6% 4.06 10
2 6 GLORY ELITE 23.3% 4.29 4
3 1 GORGEOUS WIN 12.6% 7.94 6
4 8 GUSTOSISIMO 10.7% 9.30 1
5 5 LADY'S CHOICE 10.5% 9.49 2
6 10 KAHOLO ANGEL 6.3% 16.00 5
7 9 STELLAR EXPRESS 4.4% 22.73 9
8 2 SON PAK FU 4.3% 23.20 8
9 4 BRAVE STAR 1.7% 60.38 7
10 7 WHIZZ KID 1.6% 62.64 3
BEAUTY DESTINYGLORY ELITEGORGEOUS WINGUSTOSISIMO — wonLADY'S CHOICEKAHOLO ANGELSTELLAR EXPRESSSON PAK FUBRAVE STARWHIZZ KID

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 93

PLACE

5 29

7 109.5

8 27

QUINELLA

5,8 581.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 568

5,8 140

7,8 399

FORECAST

8,5 1,128

TIERCE

8,5,7 28,816

TRIO

5,7,8 6,197

FIRST 4

5,6,7,8 2,457

QUARTET

8,5,7,6 120,960

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/4/5 1,054

11/4/8 6,347

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,8/5,7,8 180,514

4TH DOUBLE

4/5 97.5

4/8 629.5