Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 09:20
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 3 over 1800m. WINNING WING, ridden by H T Mo and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with GOLD MASTER second and FLYING LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite PACKING TURBINE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINNING WING Closed strongly TT 1.47.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 8 | 5.1 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 5 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B/H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | PACKING TURBINE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNING GOLD TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | ARIEL B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 67.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT Led early B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 51.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 10 | MASTER TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOLD MASTER | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING TURBINE | 17.6% | 5.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | ENTHRALLED | 16.5% | 6.05 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | WINNING WING | 8.4% | 11.96 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | FLYING LUCK | 7.4% | 13.51 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST | 6.6% | 15.07 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 5.5% | 18.25 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ARIEL | 3.1% | 31.77 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING | 2.9% | 34.29 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | WINNING GOLD | 2.9% | 34.61 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 2.2% | 44.72 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 51.5
PLACE
7 31.5
9 18.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
9,12 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 88.5
7,12 87.5
9,12 50
FORECAST
9,12 265
TIERCE
9,12,7 1,941
TRIO
7,9,12 376
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 334
QUARTET
9,12,7,3 6,861
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
4/9 5,525
4/12 1,152