Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 06:05
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. AHREN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-3/4, with ENJOY GOLF second and LEAN MASTER third. The 2.8 favourite ENJOY GOLF finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AHREN 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 3 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LEAN MASTER B2/TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GLACIATED C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SUNNY Q L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 8 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE V J Orman · T P Yung | J Orman | T P Yung | 11 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SAL XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 163.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 69.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | RATTAN GALAXY B1/TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 88.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | BILLION TWO TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 64.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 28.7% | 3.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 17.8% | 5.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | AHREN | 15.1% | 6.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 12.7% | 7.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | MONTA FRUTTA | 8.2% | 12.24 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE | 3.3% | 30.55 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | BILLION TWO | 3.2% | 31.11 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 3.0% | 33.39 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNNY Q | 2.9% | 34.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | RATTAN GALAXY | 2.4% | 42.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | GLACIATED | 2.2% | 45.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | SAL | 0.6% | 169.11 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 53.5
PLACE
1 11
4 20
8 19
QUINELLA
1,4 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 32
1,8 30.5
4,8 55.5
FORECAST
4,1 207
TIERCE
4,1,8 845
TRIO
1,4,8 147
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 108
QUARTET
4,1,8,7 3,104
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/1 67.5
11/4 662