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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 05:05

Race 2

Class 4 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 4 over 1000m. PARENTS' LOVE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with ALSONSO second and ISLAND BREEZES third. The 2.9 favourite THRIVING BROTHERS finished 6th.

Result

Official · 0.56.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 PARENTS' LOVE H/TT 0.56.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 10.0 SH
2 2 ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham 14 7.9 SH
3 12 ISLAND BREEZES B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 11 15.0 SH
4 9 MOON ROCKET TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum 4 20.0 N
5 8 LAHORE CP1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards 12 47.0 N
6 3 THRIVING BROTHERS B-/XB-/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 9 2.9 1/2
7 6 COME FAST FAY FAY TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting 13 16.0 1-3/4
8 11 KA YING RESILIENCE H-/P1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 10.0 3
9 14 BINGO BABE H/XB M F Poon · Y S Tsui 3 27.0 4-1/2
10 10 ROBOT MASTER B-/SR-/CP2/TT P N Wong · K L Man 6 17.0 5-1/2
11 13 NOBLE DELUXE B/TT A Hamelin · J Size 7 17.0 5-1/2
12 7 GREAT LEGACY XB1 J Orman · D J Hall 2 109.0 5-1/2
13 1 NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bowman · W Y So 8 5.6 6-1/4
14 5 BEAU CADEAU B1/TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo 10 58.0 7-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARENTS' LOVE2. ALSONSO+0.1L3. ISLAND BREEZES+0.1L4. MOON ROCKET+0.05L5. LAHORE+0.05L6. THRIVING BROTHERS+0.5L7. COME FAST FAY FAY+1.75L8. KA YING RESILIENCE+3L9. BINGO BABE+4.5L10. ROBOT MASTER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PARENTS' LOVE (17.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 PARENTS' LOVE 17.5% 5.72 1
2 1 NORTHERN BEACHES 12.7% 7.90 13
3 3 THRIVING BROTHERS 9.2% 10.90 6
4 6 COME FAST FAY FAY 7.4% 13.51 7
5 11 KA YING RESILIENCE 7.1% 14.12 8
6 12 ISLAND BREEZES 6.8% 14.79 3
7 13 NOBLE DELUXE 6.7% 14.91 11
8 9 MOON ROCKET 5.8% 17.19 4
9 7 GREAT LEGACY 5.3% 18.85 12
10 14 BINGO BABE 5.1% 19.46 9
11 2 ALSONSO 4.9% 20.40 2
12 8 LAHORE 4.4% 22.96 5
13 5 BEAU CADEAU 3.9% 25.81 14
14 10 ROBOT MASTER 3.4% 29.84 10
PARENTS' LOVE — wonNORTHERN BEACHESTHRIVING BROTHERSCOME FAST FAY FAYKA YING RESILIENCEISLAND BREEZESNOBLE DELUXEMOON ROCKETGREAT LEGACYBINGO BABEALSONSOLAHOREBEAU CADEAUROBOT MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 101.5

PLACE

2 23

4 31

12 43.5

QUINELLA

2,4 552.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 174

2,12 179

4,12 300.5

FORECAST

4,2 1,154

TIERCE

4,2,12 15,894

TRIO

2,4,12 3,059

FIRST 4

2,4,9,12 11,953

QUARTET

4,2,12,9 241,444

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/2 15.5

6/4 167