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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 16:11

Race 8

Class 1 1400m Course C 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 DIVANO Closed strongly TT 1.20.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · K W Lui 3 6.5 1
2 3 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui 2 2.1 1
3 5 TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng 7 14.0 1-1/4
4 4 MUGEN Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng 6 18.0 3-1/4
5 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 21.0 3-1/2
6 8 MR ASCENDENCY CP/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu 5 53.0 4
7 2 INVINCIBLE SAGE CP P N Wong · D J Hall 1 13.0 4-1/2
8 6 RUBYLOT CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 5.4 5
9 7 DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 7.7 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 1 over 1400m. DIVANO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with PATCH OF THETA second and TAJ DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DIVANO—2. PATCH OF THETA+1L3. TAJ DRAGON+1.25L4. MUGEN+3.25L5. BEAUTY JOY+3.5L6. MR ASCENDENCY+4L7. INVINCIBLE SAGE+4.5L8. RUBYLOT+5L9. DROMBEG BANNER+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF THETA (18.9%) finished 2nd — the winner DIVANO was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PATCH OF THETA 18.9% 5.30 2
2 6 RUBYLOT 16.9% 5.92 8
3 9 DIVANO 16.6% 6.04 1
4 2 INVINCIBLE SAGE 15.8% 6.32 7
5 7 DROMBEG BANNER 15.1% 6.64 9
6 1 BEAUTY JOY 5.9% 16.84 5
7 5 TAJ DRAGON 5.1% 19.62 3
8 8 MR ASCENDENCY 3.2% 30.79 6
9 4 MUGEN 2.5% 39.22 4
PATCH OF THETARUBYLOTDIVANO — wonINVINCIBLE SAGEDROMBEG BANNERBEAUTY JOYTAJ DRAGONMR ASCENDENCYMUGEN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 65.5

PLACE

3 10.5

5 37

9 19

QUINELLA

3,9 70

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 68

3,9 29

5,9 128

FORECAST

9,3 189

TIERCE

9,3,5 1,789

TRIO

3,5,9 296

FIRST 4

3,4,5,9 822

QUARTET

9,3,5,4 19,336

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

2/3 81.5

2/9 641.5