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Sha Tin · 2025-04-13 · 05:35

Race 3

Class 5 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-13 was Class 5 over 1200m. WIND SPEEDER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with SKY PROPHET second and CHEER FOR SOUTH third. The 4.4 favourite SKY PROPHET finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 WIND SPEEDER B 1.10.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 3 9.2 3/4
2 6 SKY PROPHET B-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 5 4.4 3/4
3 7 CHEER FOR SOUTH PC A Atzeni · F C Lor 12 6.5 1-1/4
4 4 STERLING WONGCHOY B/XB J Orman · D J Whyte 6 10.0 2-1/4
5 3 THE CONCENTRATION PC/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 9 21.0 3
6 9 HO HO STAR H M Chadwick · C H Yip 8 30.0 3-1/4
7 12 CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 8.2 3-1/2
8 5 CIRCUIT TEN TT Z Purton · W Y So 10 4.9 3-1/2
9 2 PODIUM TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 11 9.7 3-1/2
10 8 FALCON COURT B-/V1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 4 40.0 3-3/4
11 10 MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung 7 30.0 4-1/4
12 1 COMMANDING MISSILE C L Chau · C W Chang 1 15.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIND SPEEDER2. SKY PROPHET+0.75L3. CHEER FOR SOUTH+1.25L4. STERLING WONGCHOY+2.25L5. THE CONCENTRATION+3L6. HO HO STAR+3.25L7. CALIFORNIA ICON+3.5L8. CIRCUIT TEN+3.5L9. PODIUM+3.5L10. FALCON COURT+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick THE CONCENTRATION (12.7%) finished 5th — the winner WIND SPEEDER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 THE CONCENTRATION 12.7% 7.90 5
2 4 STERLING WONGCHOY 11.7% 8.52 4
3 7 CHEER FOR SOUTH 10.6% 9.42 3
4 11 WIND SPEEDER 10.5% 9.56 1
5 9 HO HO STAR 10.2% 9.79 6
6 5 CIRCUIT TEN 9.8% 10.21 8
7 2 PODIUM 7.9% 12.71 9
8 6 SKY PROPHET 7.5% 13.33 2
9 8 FALCON COURT 6.1% 16.53 10
10 10 MULTIDARLING 5.4% 18.69 11
11 12 CALIFORNIA ICON 4.2% 23.75 7
12 1 COMMANDING MISSILE 3.5% 28.39 12
THE CONCENTRATIONSTERLING WONGCHOYCHEER FOR SOUTHWIND SPEEDER — wonHO HO STARCIRCUIT TENPODIUMSKY PROPHETFALCON COURTMULTIDARLINGCALIFORNIA ICONCOMMANDING MISSILE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 92

PLACE

6 16.5

7 26

11 30.5

QUINELLA

6,11 270.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 72.5

6,11 89

7,11 125

FORECAST

11,6 532

TIERCE

11,6,7 5,033

TRIO

6,7,11 681

FIRST 4

4,6,7,11 1,469

QUARTET

11,6,7,4 42,449

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,12/6,7,11 262,781

2ND DOUBLE

4/6 107

4/11 1,108.5