沙田 · 2025-04-13 · 05:05
第 2場
2025-04-13沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的PARENTS' LOVE勝出，贏出SH。ALSONSO獲得亞軍；ISLAND BREEZES獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門THRIVING BROTHERS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 14 | 7.9 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | SH |
| 4 | 9 | MOON ROCKET TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 4 | 20.0 | N |
| 5 | 8 | LAHORE CP1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 47.0 | N |
| 6 | 3 | THRIVING BROTHERS B-/XB-/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | COME FAST FAY FAY TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 13 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | KA YING RESILIENCE H-/P1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | BINGO BABE H/XB M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | ROBOT MASTER B-/SR-/CP2/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | NOBLE DELUXE B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT LEGACY XB1 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 109.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 8 | 5.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | BEAU CADEAU B1/TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 10 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PARENTS' LOVE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 12.7% | 7.90 | 13 |
| 3 | 3 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 9.2% | 10.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 7.4% | 13.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 7.1% | 14.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | ISLAND BREEZES | 6.8% | 14.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | NOBLE DELUXE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | MOON ROCKET | 5.8% | 17.19 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | GREAT LEGACY | 5.3% | 18.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | BINGO BABE | 5.1% | 19.46 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ALSONSO | 4.9% | 20.40 | 2 |
| 12 | 8 | LAHORE | 4.4% | 22.96 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAU CADEAU | 3.9% | 25.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | ROBOT MASTER | 3.4% | 29.84 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 101.5
PLACE
2 23
4 31
12 43.5
QUINELLA
2,4 552.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 174
2,12 179
4,12 300.5
FORECAST
4,2 1,154
TIERCE
4,2,12 15,894
TRIO
2,4,12 3,059
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 11,953
QUARTET
4,2,12,9 241,444
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/2 15.5
6/4 167