跑馬地 · 2025-07-16 · 11:05
第 2場
2025-07-16跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J Orman策騎、C Fownes訓練的MONARCH COUNTY勝出，贏出SH。WINNING MONEY獲得亞軍；FLYING WROTE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MONARCH COUNTY B/TT 1.09.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.6 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | WINNING MONEY H/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 1 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | FLYING WROTE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.6 | SH |
| 4 | 9 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 5 | 17.0 | HD |
| 5 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | GENIUS BABY CP-/B1/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 63.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE E/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING KID K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 50.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING DIAMOND M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FLASH STAR TT1 E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 10 | 42.0 | 7 |
| — | 10 | ISLAND BREEZES C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING MONEY | 15.6% | 6.42 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE | 15.3% | 6.55 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | FLYING WROTE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MONARCH COUNTY | 12.5% | 8.00 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | FLASH STAR | 11.4% | 8.75 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING DIAMOND | 9.1% | 11.04 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 6.3% | 15.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING KID | 4.5% | 22.08 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | JOLLY COMPANION | 4.5% | 22.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | GENIUS BABY | 3.6% | 27.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SAME TO YOU | 2.4% | 40.96 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 36
PLACE
4 14.5
8 21
11 18.5
QUINELLA
4,11 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 42
4,11 33
8,11 44
FORECAST
4,11 181
TIERCE
4,11,8 814
TRIO
4,8,11 138
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 501
QUARTET
4,11,8,9 7,072
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
11/4,10 407.5
11/11 50