跑馬地 · 2025-07-16 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-07-16跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的REGAL GEM勝出，贏出SH。STORMING DRAGON獲得亞軍；VICTOR THE RAPID獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門YOUNG ARROW跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | REGAL GEM 1.09.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 23.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 11 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | VICTOR THE RAPID TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 12 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUNG ARROW CP A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC SON CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FRANCIS MEYNELL TT H T Mo · D Eustace | H T Mo | D Eustace | 2 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | COPARTNER FLEET M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 9.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CHILL BUDDY TT1 E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.5 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUNG ARROW | 18.0% | 5.55 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | COPARTNER FLEET | 17.1% | 5.83 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 16.2% | 6.17 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 9.8% | 10.19 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | KYRUS DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.39 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | STORMING DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.73 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | CHILL BUDDY | 7.8% | 12.74 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 4.4% | 22.89 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.7% | 26.87 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | REGAL GEM | 2.3% | 43.90 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.1% | 46.88 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 1.8% | 54.33 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 239.5
PLACE
7 41.5
11 54
12 44
QUINELLA
7,11 1,638.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 427.5
7,12 217
11,12 403
FORECAST
11,7 3,418
TIERCE
11,7,12 34,561
TRIO
7,11,12 6,744
FIRST 4
7,8,11,12 23,584
QUARTET
11,7,12,8 633,611
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/3/7 774
6/3/11 5,672
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/7,11,12 1,058,791
8TH DOUBLE
3/7 163
3/11 1,681.5
SIX UP
1/4/9/6/3/11 5,089,003
1,11/4,7/6,9/6,8/3,8/7,11 43,076
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [D A Hayes] —