跑馬地 · 2025-07-16 · 12:35
第 5場
2025-07-16跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的TACTICAL COMMAND勝出，贏出SH。HONEST WITNESS獲得亞軍；GRAND NOVA獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門HONEST WITNESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND B 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 2 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | GRAND NOVA E M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 3 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B1/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DANCING CLASSICS TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | COSMO LIGHT TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 159.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 4.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | TELECOM POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | TO INFINITY CP1 Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 11 | 118.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GREAT LEGACY XB-/H1/TT1 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 12 | 116.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | TELECOM POWER | 17.5% | 5.72 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 16.6% | 6.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | DANCING CLASSICS | 14.1% | 7.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 13.6% | 7.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | GRAND NOVA | 6.2% | 16.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.6% | 21.69 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 3.5% | 28.63 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 2.4% | 42.44 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 1.3% | 75.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | COSMO LIGHT | 0.6% | 165.85 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | GREAT LEGACY | 0.6% | 167.95 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 73.5
PLACE
3 32
4 20.5
7 14.5
QUINELLA
4,7 98
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 110
3,7 74
4,7 38.5
FORECAST
4,7 263
TIERCE
4,7,3 2,438
TRIO
3,4,7 381
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 789
QUARTET
4,7,3,2 17,867
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
10/1/4 2,551
10/1/7 491
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/3,4,7 65,501
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 466
1/7 80