跑馬地 · 2025-07-16 · 14:15
第 8場
2025-07-16跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY WAVES勝出，贏出2-3/4。TOMODACHI KOKOROE獲得亞軍；AURORA LADY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY WAVES TT 1.08.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE BO1/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | AURORA LADY CP/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 7.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL CP1/TT K H Chan · W K Mo | K H Chan | W K Mo | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | AERIS NOVA B/XB/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 6.5 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | RAGING BLIZZARD P H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 4.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | BRAVE STAR XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 11 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | STORM RIDER B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SELF IMPROVEMENT TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 67.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | FULL CREDIT TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 4 | 26.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY WAVES | 19.1% | 5.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | AERIS NOVA | 16.5% | 6.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 15.0% | 6.66 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 12.2% | 8.18 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL | 10.3% | 9.71 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 6.6% | 15.23 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | STORM RIDER | 5.0% | 19.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 4.0% | 24.92 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | FULL CREDIT | 3.8% | 26.22 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | AURORA LADY | 3.1% | 31.95 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 2.4% | 42.18 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | BRAVE STAR | 1.9% | 51.42 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 39
PLACE
3 18
6 77.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
3,8 122
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 223.5
3,8 49.5
6,8 319
FORECAST
3,8 255
TIERCE
3,8,6 5,258
TRIO
3,6,8 1,455
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 1,688
QUARTET
3,8,6,5 29,739
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
6/3 107.5
6/8 72