跑馬地 · 2025-07-16 · 11:35
第 3場
2025-07-16跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K C Leung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的VULCANUS勝出，贏出2-1/4。BROWNNEEDSFURTHER獲得亞軍；LUCKY SAM GOR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門LUCKY SAM GOR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VULCANUS B 1.09.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 1 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY SAM GOR CP/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | MEGA BONUS V E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ B/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 12 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | BETTER AND BETTER H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 5.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | LUCKY FIELD TT1 K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 11 | 70.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LA MOMENTO H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 102.0 | 38-3/4 |
| — | 0 | AUTUMN DELIGHT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VULCANUS | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 14.6% | 6.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLAR RIVER | 13.7% | 7.28 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | BETTER AND BETTER | 13.0% | 7.67 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 10.4% | 9.59 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | MEGA BONUS | 7.6% | 13.13 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 4.7% | 21.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 4.2% | 24.08 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 3.5% | 28.49 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | LUCKY FIELD | 2.6% | 38.36 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 1.8% | 55.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | LA MOMENTO | 0.7% | 142.82 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 51.5
PLACE
3 53.5
9 14.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
3,10 573.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 128.5
3,10 168.5
9,10 29.5
FORECAST
10,3 1,008
TIERCE
10,3,9 4,360
TRIO
3,9,10 498
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 1,271
QUARTET
10,3,9,2 38,288
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10,11/3,9,10 8,884
2ND DOUBLE
4,10/3 157
4,10/10 333