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Happy Valley · 2025-07-16 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-16 was Class 3 over 1200m. REGAL GEM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with STORMING DRAGON second and VICTOR THE RAPID third. The 3.3 favourite YOUNG ARROW finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.09.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 REGAL GEM 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 4 23.0 SH
2 7 STORMING DRAGON V/TT B Thompson · J Richards 11 19.0 SH
3 12 VICTOR THE RAPID TT A Hamelin · P C Ng 12 13.0 1/2
4 8 THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 10 26.0 3/4
5 2 KYRUS DRAGON H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall 1 6.0 1-1/2
6 1 DRAGON FOUR SEAS B Z Purton · K L Man 8 5.5 2-1/4
7 6 YOUNG ARROW CP A Atzeni · D J Whyte 3 3.3 2-1/2
8 3 SUGAR SUGAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes 7 29.0 3-1/2
9 4 ROMANTIC SON CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes 5 15.0 4-3/4
10 10 FRANCIS MEYNELL TT H T Mo · D Eustace 2 51.0 7
11 9 COPARTNER FLEET M F Poon · K W Lui 9 9.2 7-1/4
12 5 CHILL BUDDY TT1 E C W Wong · P F Yiu 6 7.5 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGAL GEM2. STORMING DRAGON+0.1L3. VICTOR THE RAPID+0.5L4. THRIVING BROTHERS+0.75L5. KYRUS DRAGON+1.5L6. DRAGON FOUR SEAS+2.25L7. YOUNG ARROW+2.5L8. SUGAR SUGAR+3.5L9. ROMANTIC SON+4.75L10. FRANCIS MEYNELL+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick YOUNG ARROW (18.0%) finished 7th — the winner REGAL GEM was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 YOUNG ARROW 18.0% 5.55 7
2 9 COPARTNER FLEET 17.1% 5.83 11
3 12 VICTOR THE RAPID 16.2% 6.17 3
4 1 DRAGON FOUR SEAS 9.8% 10.19 6
5 2 KYRUS DRAGON 8.8% 11.39 5
6 7 STORMING DRAGON 7.9% 12.73 2
7 5 CHILL BUDDY 7.8% 12.74 12
8 8 THRIVING BROTHERS 4.4% 22.89 4
9 4 ROMANTIC SON 3.7% 26.87 9
10 11 REGAL GEM 2.3% 43.90 1
11 3 SUGAR SUGAR 2.1% 46.88 8
12 10 FRANCIS MEYNELL 1.8% 54.33 10
YOUNG ARROWCOPARTNER FLEETVICTOR THE RAPIDDRAGON FOUR SEASKYRUS DRAGONSTORMING DRAGONCHILL BUDDYTHRIVING BROTHERSROMANTIC SONREGAL GEM — wonSUGAR SUGARFRANCIS MEYNELL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 239.5

PLACE

7 41.5

11 54

12 44

QUINELLA

7,11 1,638.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,11 427.5

7,12 217

11,12 403

FORECAST

11,7 3,418

TIERCE

11,7,12 34,561

TRIO

7,11,12 6,744

FIRST 4

7,8,11,12 23,584

QUARTET

11,7,12,8 633,611

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

6/3/7 774

6/3/11 5,672

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,8/7,11,12 1,058,791

8TH DOUBLE

3/7 163

3/11 1,681.5

SIX UP

1/4/9/6/3/11 5,089,003

1,11/4,7/6,9/6,8/3,8/7,11 43,076

1 [Z Purton]

3 [D A Hayes]