Happy Valley · 2025-07-16 · 10:35
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-16 was Class 5 over 1200m. SPEEDY SMARTIE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by T P Yung, won by NOSE, with RAGNARR second and DAN ATTACK third. The 3.4 favourite TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SPEEDY SMARTIE B/TT 1.09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 7 | 7.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 6.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | DAN ATTACK B-/XB2/TT- H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.5 | HD |
| 4 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | EVER SMART TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 3.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING HEART B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 10 | 165.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | MACANESE MASTER CP-/V1/TT- J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 98.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 28.0% | 3.57 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING HEART | 15.1% | 6.62 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | RAGNARR | 11.6% | 8.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 10.3% | 9.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 9.0% | 11.14 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | DAN ATTACK | 8.5% | 11.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | MY INTELLIGENT | 8.5% | 11.81 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | EVER SMART | 2.6% | 38.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE | 2.3% | 43.04 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 2.0% | 49.24 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | MACANESE MASTER | 1.3% | 76.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 0.8% | 122.81 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 77.5
PLACE
4 21
5 19.5
11 26.5
QUINELLA
5,11 259
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 62.5
4,11 82.5
5,11 77.5
FORECAST
11,5 547
TIERCE
11,5,4 4,032
TRIO
4,5,11 499
FIRST 4
4,5,9,11 549
QUARTET
11,5,4,9 16,737