Happy Valley · 2025-07-16 · 13:05
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-16 was Class 4 over 1650m. AMAZING RUN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with NORTHERN BEAST second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING RUN Closed strongly 1.39.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.4 | N |
| 2 | 6 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly V A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 34.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP-/H/XB/BO1/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 1 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | STERLING WONGCHOY B/XB K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WAH MAY WAI WAI M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | ENDUED V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 8 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | LESLIE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 9 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | COURIER ALADDIN CP/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 10 | 50.0 | 25-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 18.6% | 5.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING RUN | 14.9% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 13.3% | 7.54 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | LESLIE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 8.8% | 11.42 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | ENDUED | 8.2% | 12.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | SETANTA | 4.1% | 24.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 3.1% | 31.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | SATIRICAL FAN | 2.9% | 34.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | COURIER ALADDIN | 2.4% | 40.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | NORTHERN BEAST | 1.9% | 51.42 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44
PLACE
3 19.5
6 66.5
9 17
QUINELLA
6,9 953.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 274
3,9 45
6,9 273
FORECAST
9,6 1,205
TIERCE
9,6,3 7,089
TRIO
3,6,9 1,261
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 3,853
QUARTET
9,6,3,8 88,026
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 362.5
4/9 415.5