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Happy Valley · 2025-07-16 · 21:02

Race 6

Class 4 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 AMAZING RUN Closed strongly 1.39.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 4.4 N
2 6 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly V A Atzeni · D J Hall 4 34.0 N
3 3 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP-/H/XB/BO1/TT Z Purton · W K Mo 1 4.9 1-1/4
4 8 SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 19.0 1-1/4
5 11 STERLING WONGCHOY B/XB K C Leung · D J Whyte 11 8.2 1-3/4
6 12 WAH MAY WAI WAI M Chadwick · A S Cruz 3 5.5 1-3/4
7 5 GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 5 11.0 3
8 1 ENDUED V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung 8 7.4 3-3/4
9 10 LESLIE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C W Chang 6 12.0 4-1/4
10 2 SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 7 40.0 7
11 7 SATIRICAL FAN Led early TT J Orman · C S Shum 9 20.0 12-1/4
12 4 COURIER ALADDIN CP/TT A Hamelin · K L Man 10 50.0 25-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-16 was Class 4 over 1650m. AMAZING RUN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with NORTHERN BEAST second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING RUN—2. NORTHERN BEAST+0.05L3. CHAIN OF GOLD+1.25L4. SETANTA+1.25L5. STERLING WONGCHOY+1.75L6. WAH MAY WAI WAI+1.75L7. GALAXY WITNESS+3L8. ENDUED+3.75L9. LESLIE+4.25L10. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CHAIN OF GOLD (18.6%) finished 3rd — the winner AMAZING RUN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CHAIN OF GOLD 18.6% 5.39 3
2 9 AMAZING RUN 14.9% 6.69 1
3 12 WAH MAY WAI WAI 13.3% 7.54 6
4 10 LESLIE 13.3% 7.54 9
5 11 STERLING WONGCHOY 8.8% 11.42 5
6 5 GALAXY WITNESS 8.5% 11.83 7
7 1 ENDUED 8.2% 12.14 8
8 8 SETANTA 4.1% 24.50 4
9 2 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 3.1% 31.75 10
10 7 SATIRICAL FAN 2.9% 34.40 11
11 4 COURIER ALADDIN 2.4% 40.89 12
12 6 NORTHERN BEAST 1.9% 51.42 2
CHAIN OF GOLDAMAZING RUN — wonWAH MAY WAI WAILESLIESTERLING WONGCHOYGALAXY WITNESSENDUEDSETANTASUNDAY'S SERENADESATIRICAL FANCOURIER ALADDINNORTHERN BEAST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 44

PLACE

3 19.5

6 66.5

9 17

QUINELLA

6,9 953.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 274

3,9 45

6,9 273

FORECAST

9,6 1,205

TIERCE

9,6,3 7,089

TRIO

3,6,9 1,261

FIRST 4

3,6,8,9 3,853

QUARTET

9,6,3,8 88,026

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/6 362.5

4/9 415.5