Happy Valley · 2025-07-16 · 13:40
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-16 was Class 3 over 1650m. HIGHLAND RAHY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with PRESTIGE GOOD second and IVY LEAGUE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HIGHLAND RAHY Wire to wire B/TT 1.38.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 4.1 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly V J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 9 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SAMARKAND CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GOOD LUCK BABE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DEFINITIVE B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 3 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SENOR TOBA V-/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 38.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | THE LION KING B-/TT- E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 10 | 134.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 16.4% | 6.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 13.6% | 7.33 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 12.6% | 7.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 10.2% | 9.79 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | DEFINITIVE | 9.6% | 10.39 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 7.0% | 14.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | SAMARKAND | 5.8% | 17.20 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 5.6% | 17.87 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.0% | 19.86 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | SENOR TOBA | 3.1% | 32.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | THE LION KING | 1.1% | 89.42 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 41.5
PLACE
6 19
8 22
9 84
QUINELLA
6,8 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 60.5
6,9 243.5
8,9 280.5
FORECAST
6,8 248
TIERCE
6,8,9 5,098
TRIO
6,8,9 1,562
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 4,660
QUARTET
6,8,9,2 62,389
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/6,8,9 391,755
6TH DOUBLE
9/6 229
9/8 97.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,7/3,6,9/Any Combination 4,654