沙田 · 2025-09-21 · 07:05
第 5場
2025-09-21沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的GOOD GOOD勝出，贏出N。PEARL OF PANG'S獲得亞軍；HAPPY UNIVERSE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.6倍大熱門STAR BROSE跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOOD GOOD 後段發力 V-/B2 1.37.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 7.4 | N |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE 後段發力 P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 8 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 V-/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT CP-/V1/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 6 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY 後段發力 XB/TT J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 13 | 138.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | RADIANT SWIFT B- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE 後段發力 B- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | NEWBORN MIRACLE 早段領放 B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ACE WAR B-/TT D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 12 | 55.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK CP H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 14 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | STAR BROSE CP-/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | ILLUMINOUS V K De Melo · F C Lor | K De Melo | F C Lor | 11 | 25.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR BROSE | 18.6% | 5.37 | 13 |
| 2 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 17.9% | 5.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 6.8% | 14.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 6.0% | 16.78 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.2% | 30.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 2.8% | 35.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ILLUMINOUS | 2.8% | 36.00 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | ACE WAR | 2.3% | 43.15 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY | 1.5% | 67.28 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | RADIANT SWIFT | 1.4% | 73.70 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 146.5
PLACE
5 22.5
7 24.5
9 55.5
QUINELLA
7,9 655
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 84
5,9 218.5
7,9 234.5
FORECAST
9,7 1,216
TIERCE
9,7,5 9,435
TRIO
5,7,9 1,478
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 1,643
QUARTET
9,7,5,11 48,545
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/9/7 879
7/9/9 31,408
4TH DOUBLE
9/7 44.5
9/9 1,875.5