沙田 · 2025-09-21 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-09-21沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1650米。由L Ferraris策騎、D A Hayes訓練的PRECISION GOAL勝出，贏出1-1/4。SIGHT SUPREME獲得亞軍；ALLCASH獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.9倍大熱門ALLCASH跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL 一路領先 BO/TT 1.39.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SIGHT SUPREME 後段發力 B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 9.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ALLCASH 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 8.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARMING STEED 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B-/SR-/PC1 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 CP A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 8 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LESLIE 後段發力 B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H2/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND XB2/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 11 | 7.8 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | MEGA FORCE CP1/TT1 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 10 | 84.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK CP/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ALLCASH | 14.2% | 7.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND | 13.6% | 7.37 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 8.8% | 11.38 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | LESLIE | 7.9% | 12.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARMING STEED | 7.9% | 12.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 7.0% | 14.30 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER UNICORN | 5.9% | 16.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 13 | SIGHT SUPREME | 4.6% | 21.71 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.6% | 28.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.0% | 33.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.8% | 36.31 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | MEGA FORCE | 2.2% | 45.72 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 78
PLACE
3 19
9 20.5
13 29.5
QUINELLA
9,13 376
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 72
3,13 97
9,13 126.5
FORECAST
9,13 680
TIERCE
9,13,3 3,945
TRIO
3,9,13 643
FIRST 4
3,9,12,13 1,598
QUARTET
9,13,3,12 43,855
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/3,9,13 175,812
3RD DOUBLE
7/9 439
7/13 188.5