Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 06:35
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 4 over 1650m. PRECISION GOAL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with SIGHT SUPREME second and ALLCASH third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite ALLCASH finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL Wire to wire BO/TT 1.39.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SIGHT SUPREME Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 9.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ALLCASH Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 8.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B-/SR-/PC1 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 8 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LESLIE Closed strongly B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H2/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND XB2/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 11 | 7.8 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | MEGA FORCE CP1/TT1 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 10 | 84.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK CP/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISION GOAL | 18.6% | 5.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ALLCASH | 14.2% | 7.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND | 13.6% | 7.37 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 8.8% | 11.38 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | LESLIE | 7.9% | 12.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARMING STEED | 7.9% | 12.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 7.0% | 14.30 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPER UNICORN | 5.9% | 16.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 13 | SIGHT SUPREME | 4.6% | 21.71 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.6% | 28.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.0% | 33.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.8% | 36.31 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | MEGA FORCE | 2.2% | 45.72 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 78
PLACE
3 19
9 20.5
13 29.5
QUINELLA
9,13 376
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 72
3,13 97
9,13 126.5
FORECAST
9,13 680
TIERCE
9,13,3 3,945
TRIO
3,9,13 643
FIRST 4
3,9,12,13 1,598
QUARTET
9,13,3,12 43,855
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/3,9,13 175,812
3RD DOUBLE
7/9 439
7/13 188.5