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Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 08:10

Race 7

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 4 over 1400m. SOLID WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with THE HEIR second and BLING BLING GENIUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite BEAUTY GLORY finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.22.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT- 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu 12 5.9 1
2 7 THE HEIR Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 5.5 1
3 14 BLING BLING GENIUS Closed strongly B- A Badel · D J Whyte 13 6.9 3-1/4
4 1 MR COOL Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 14 4.9 3-1/4
5 4 BEAUTY GLORY Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 4.8 4
6 2 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR K Teetan · P C Ng 8 34.0 4-3/4
7 8 INNO SUPER SR/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 52.0 5
8 9 SUPERB GUY R Kingscote · K W Lui 5 48.0 6
9 12 TURF PHOENIX Closed strongly D Probert · W Y So 3 121.0 7
10 10 DIRIYA C L Chau · C H Yip 4 22.0 8-1/4
11 11 BULL ATTITUDE Led early B L Hewitson · M Newnham 11 12.0 8-1/4
12 5 ALL ROUND WINNER CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 27.0 8-1/4
13 3 SEA CHARIOT TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 6 93.0 10-1/4
14 13 RATTAN GALAXY TT K C Leung · K L Man 9 16.0 10-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOLID WIN2. THE HEIR+1L3. BLING BLING GENIUS+3.25L4. MR COOL+3.25L5. BEAUTY GLORY+4L6. FIGHTING MACHINE+4.75L7. INNO SUPER+5L8. SUPERB GUY+6L9. TURF PHOENIX+7L10. DIRIYA+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MR COOL (17.6%) finished 4th — the winner SOLID WIN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MR COOL 17.6% 5.67 4
2 4 BEAUTY GLORY 17.1% 5.84 5
3 6 SOLID WIN 13.5% 7.40 1
4 7 THE HEIR 11.8% 8.46 2
5 11 BULL ATTITUDE 7.3% 13.67 11
6 10 DIRIYA 5.6% 17.98 10
7 14 BLING BLING GENIUS 4.6% 21.78 3
8 2 FIGHTING MACHINE 4.5% 22.19 6
9 5 ALL ROUND WINNER 3.7% 27.28 12
10 8 INNO SUPER 3.1% 32.63 7
11 12 TURF PHOENIX 3.0% 33.65 9
12 9 SUPERB GUY 2.9% 34.81 8
13 3 SEA CHARIOT 2.8% 35.09 13
14 13 RATTAN GALAXY 2.5% 39.69 14
MR COOLBEAUTY GLORYSOLID WIN — wonTHE HEIRBULL ATTITUDEDIRIYABLING BLING GENIUSFIGHTING MACHINEALL ROUND WINNERINNO SUPERTURF PHOENIXSUPERB GUYSEA CHARIOTRATTAN GALAXY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 59

PLACE

6 21

7 19.5

14 26.5

QUINELLA

6,7 149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 51

6,14 94

7,14 79.5

FORECAST

6,7 313

TIERCE

6,7,14 3,073

TRIO

6,7,14 553

FIRST 4

1,6,7,14 597

QUARTET

6,7,14,1 15,245

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/6 322.5

1/7 38