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Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 07:40

Race 6

Class 3 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 3 over 1200m. SKY TRUST, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 3, with WONDERSTAR second and TIN FOOK third. The 3.5 favourite VICTORY SKY finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.09.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SKY TRUST H-/TT 1.09.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 4.2 3
2 4 WONDERSTAR B J Orman · Y S Tsui 11 4.2 3
3 5 TIN FOOK K Teetan · D J Hall 7 15.0 3-3/4
4 6 VICTORY SKY CP-/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 3.5 4-3/4
5 7 THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor 9 6.1 6
6 10 THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham 4 16.0 7
7 9 FLYING KNIGHT CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 24.0 7-3/4
8 2 GIANT LEAP B R Kingscote · P F Yiu 10 25.0 7-3/4
9 12 SHINYU KOKOROE P-/H1 D Probert · D A Hayes 2 88.0 8
10 3 STANLEY EXPRESS TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 12 19.0 10
11 8 COLOURFUL KNIGHT TT C L Chau · C S Shum 5 97.0 17
12 11 FIVEFORTWO XB/B1 K De Melo · K W Lui 1 92.0 21-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY TRUST2. WONDERSTAR+3L3. TIN FOOK+3.75L4. VICTORY SKY+4.75L5. THE RED HARE+6L6. THOUSAND SPIRIT+7L7. FLYING KNIGHT+7.75L8. GIANT LEAP+7.75L9. SHINYU KOKOROE+8L10. STANLEY EXPRESS+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VICTORY SKY (20.0%) finished 4th — the winner SKY TRUST was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 VICTORY SKY 20.0% 5.00 4
2 1 SKY TRUST 14.7% 6.78 1
3 4 WONDERSTAR 13.7% 7.31 2
4 3 STANLEY EXPRESS 12.0% 8.35 10
5 10 THOUSAND SPIRIT 10.6% 9.46 6
6 2 GIANT LEAP 8.9% 11.20 8
7 7 THE RED HARE 5.7% 17.49 5
8 5 TIN FOOK 4.4% 22.70 3
9 9 FLYING KNIGHT 4.2% 23.76 7
10 12 SHINYU KOKOROE 3.1% 32.12 9
11 8 COLOURFUL KNIGHT 1.5% 68.47 11
12 11 FIVEFORTWO 1.2% 83.54 12
VICTORY SKYSKY TRUST — wonWONDERSTARSTANLEY EXPRESSTHOUSAND SPIRITGIANT LEAPTHE RED HARETIN FOOKFLYING KNIGHTSHINYU KOKOROECOLOURFUL KNIGHTFIVEFORTWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 42

PLACE

1 14

4 16

5 48.5

QUINELLA

1,4 85.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 33.5

1,5 92.5

4,5 91.5

FORECAST

1,4 189

TIERCE

1,4,5 2,415

TRIO

1,4,5 529

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 317

QUARTET

1,4,5,6 9,218

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,9/1,4,5 101,097

5TH DOUBLE

9/1 1,259

9/4 162

TRIPLE TRIO

3,9,13/5,7,9/1,4,5 11,058,736

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,9,13/5,7,9/Any Combination 14,282