Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 5 over 1800m. HAKKA RADIANCE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with YEABOI second and SMASHING EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite MR ALADDIN finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly TT 1.50.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | YEABOI Closed strongly CP-/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 5 | 27.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 3 | 9.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER CP C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MR ALADDIN | 25.8% | 3.88 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | STORM RUNNER | 23.5% | 4.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER HONG KONG | 6.3% | 15.84 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 6.2% | 16.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 5.9% | 17.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER | 4.1% | 24.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | YEABOI | 3.3% | 30.52 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 3.2% | 31.53 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 53
PLACE
3 18
6 41.5
10 62.5
QUINELLA
3,10 670
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 108
3,10 188.5
6,10 562.5
FORECAST
3,10 1,172
TIERCE
3,10,6 16,238
TRIO
3,6,10 3,558
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 3,063
QUARTET
3,10,6,1 72,283