Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 05:35

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course C 11 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 4 over 1200m. MOTOR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/2, with WINNING CHAMPION second and MAZING GRACE third. The 3.1 favourite FIELD MARSHAL finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.10.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MOTOR CP-/B1/TT 1.10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 2 3.5 1-1/2
2 5 WINNING CHAMPION TT M F Poon · C S Shum 6 5.8 1-1/2
3 7 MAZING GRACE H M L Yeung · C W Chang 1 70.0 3-1/4
4 6 DASHING MAURISON R Kingscote · D A Hayes 10 43.0 3-1/4
5 11 SPARKLE AND GOLD TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 3 50.0 3-1/2
6 1 FIELD MARSHAL CP/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 3.1 4
7 4 JUST FOLLOW ME TT- K Teetan · B Crawford 11 3.8 5-1/4
8 10 YOUNG FIGHTER TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 7 20.0 5-1/2
9 3 FALCON HUNTER C L Chau · C H Yip 4 36.0 6-3/4
10 9 YEUX DE LIFELINE B Avdulla · J Size 8 51.0 7-3/4
11 8 MONEY TYCOON A Atzeni · F C Lor 9 43.0 9

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOTOR2. WINNING CHAMPION+1.5L3. MAZING GRACE+3.25L4. DASHING MAURISON+3.25L5. SPARKLE AND GOLD+3.5L6. FIELD MARSHAL+4L7. JUST FOLLOW ME+5.25L8. YOUNG FIGHTER+5.5L9. FALCON HUNTER+6.75L10. YEUX DE LIFELINE+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FIELD MARSHAL (33.7%) finished 6th — the winner MOTOR was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FIELD MARSHAL 33.7% 2.97 6
2 2 MOTOR 23.2% 4.30 1
3 4 JUST FOLLOW ME 13.7% 7.30 7
4 5 WINNING CHAMPION 11.6% 8.60 2
5 8 MONEY TYCOON 3.7% 26.79 11
6 10 YOUNG FIGHTER 3.2% 30.96 8
7 3 FALCON HUNTER 3.2% 31.06 9
8 6 DASHING MAURISON 3.0% 33.11 4
9 11 SPARKLE AND GOLD 2.0% 50.90 5
10 9 YEUX DE LIFELINE 1.6% 60.87 10
11 7 MAZING GRACE 0.9% 110.69 3
FIELD MARSHALMOTOR — wonJUST FOLLOW MEWINNING CHAMPIONMONEY TYCOONYOUNG FIGHTERFALCON HUNTERDASHING MAURISONSPARKLE AND GOLDYEUX DE LIFELINEMAZING GRACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 35.5

PLACE

2 14

5 16.5

7 115

QUINELLA

2,5 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 35.5

2,7 263

5,7 428.5

FORECAST

2,5 161

TIERCE

2,5,7 3,749

TRIO

2,5,7 1,292

FIRST 4

2,5,6,7 5,118

QUARTET

2,5,7,6 53,570

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/2 184

3/5 55

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,10/2,5,7 909,580