Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 4 over 1200m. EMBLAZON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/4, with BRIGHT DAY second and PROUD BOX third. The 3.4 favourite PERIDOT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EMBLAZON TT 1.10.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | BRIGHT DAY B-/V1/TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 6 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | PROUD BOX TT1 H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE CP-/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | PERIDOT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE B L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 2 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | AEROVOLANIC CP C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | DREAMING WINNER CP/H/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | FLASH STAR H/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 9 | 137.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | TOP TO SKY K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NOBLE FANS B/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 5.6 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | BASIC INSTINCT B/TT- D Probert · Y S Tsui | D Probert | Y S Tsui | 4 | 90.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERIDOT | 32.5% | 3.07 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE | 16.3% | 6.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | AEROVOLANIC | 15.6% | 6.42 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | NOBLE FANS | 10.1% | 9.86 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | PROUD BOX | 6.8% | 14.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE | 5.5% | 18.19 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | EMBLAZON | 3.8% | 26.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | BRIGHT DAY | 3.4% | 29.61 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | DREAMING WINNER | 2.4% | 41.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | BASIC INSTINCT | 1.4% | 72.77 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | TOP TO SKY | 1.3% | 79.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | FLASH STAR | 0.9% | 112.52 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 57.5
PLACE
5 37
6 43
7 21.5
QUINELLA
6,7 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 280.5
5,7 120.5
6,7 194
FORECAST
7,6 971
TIERCE
7,6,5 7,392
TRIO
5,6,7 2,173
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 3,487
QUARTET
7,6,5,2 75,747
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/6 84.5
2/7 407