Sha Tin · 2025-09-21 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-21 was Class 4 over 1600m. GOOD GOOD, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with PEARL OF PANG'S second and HAPPY UNIVERSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite STAR BROSE finished 13th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOOD GOOD Closed strongly V-/B2 1.37.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 7.4 | N |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 8 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V-/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT CP-/V1/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 6 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY Closed strongly XB/TT J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 13 | 138.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | RADIANT SWIFT B- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly B- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | NEWBORN MIRACLE Led early B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ACE WAR B-/TT D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 12 | 55.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK CP H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 14 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | STAR BROSE CP-/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | ILLUMINOUS V K De Melo · F C Lor | K De Melo | F C Lor | 11 | 25.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR BROSE | 18.6% | 5.37 | 13 |
| 2 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 17.9% | 5.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY VIVA | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 6.8% | 14.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 6.0% | 16.78 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.2% | 30.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 2.8% | 35.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ILLUMINOUS | 2.8% | 36.00 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | ACE WAR | 2.3% | 43.15 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY | 1.5% | 67.28 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | RADIANT SWIFT | 1.4% | 73.70 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 146.5
PLACE
5 22.5
7 24.5
9 55.5
QUINELLA
7,9 655
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 84
5,9 218.5
7,9 234.5
FORECAST
9,7 1,216
TIERCE
9,7,5 9,435
TRIO
5,7,9 1,478
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 1,643
QUARTET
9,7,5,11 48,545
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/9/7 879
7/9/9 31,408
4TH DOUBLE
9/7 44.5
9/9 1,875.5