沙田 · 2025-09-21 · 07:40
第 6場
2025-09-21沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY TRUST勝出，贏出3。WONDERSTAR獲得亞軍；TIN FOOK獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門VICTORY SKY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY TRUST H-/TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | WONDERSTAR B J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | TIN FOOK K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | VICTORY SKY CP-/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THE RED HARE E/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 6.1 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | FLYING KNIGHT CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GIANT LEAP B R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SHINYU KOKOROE P-/H1 D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 2 | 88.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | STANLEY EXPRESS TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 19.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | COLOURFUL KNIGHT TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 97.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 11 | FIVEFORTWO XB/B1 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 1 | 92.0 | 21-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTORY SKY | 20.0% | 5.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY TRUST | 14.7% | 6.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | WONDERSTAR | 13.7% | 7.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | STANLEY EXPRESS | 12.0% | 8.35 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 10.6% | 9.46 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | GIANT LEAP | 8.9% | 11.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | THE RED HARE | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | TIN FOOK | 4.4% | 22.70 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING KNIGHT | 4.2% | 23.76 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 3.1% | 32.12 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | COLOURFUL KNIGHT | 1.5% | 68.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | FIVEFORTWO | 1.2% | 83.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42
PLACE
1 14
4 16
5 48.5
QUINELLA
1,4 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 33.5
1,5 92.5
4,5 91.5
FORECAST
1,4 189
TIERCE
1,4,5 2,415
TRIO
1,4,5 529
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 317
QUARTET
1,4,5,6 9,218
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/1,4,5 101,097
5TH DOUBLE
9/1 1,259
9/4 162
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9,13/5,7,9/1,4,5 11,058,736
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9,13/5,7,9/Any Combination 14,282