沙田 · 2025-09-21 · 08:40
第 8場
2025-09-21沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的MOJAVE DESERT勝出，贏出1-3/4。ENDEARED獲得亞軍；NEW FOREST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MOJAVE DESERT 後段發力 B/XB 1.38.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB/P2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | NEW FOREST 早段領放 TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 5.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES 後段發力 B/TT J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 PC/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 9 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ARIEL B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | CHILL KAKA V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.2 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 4 | 38.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | KINGDOM OF RICHES H/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 118.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MOJAVE DESERT | 20.8% | 4.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | CHILL KAKA | 17.3% | 5.79 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 14.9% | 6.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | NEW FOREST | 8.5% | 11.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | ENDEARED | 7.8% | 12.78 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 5.9% | 17.08 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | ARIEL | 5.6% | 17.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | TURIN MASCOT | 4.2% | 24.00 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | NEVER PETER OUT | 3.7% | 27.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 1.7% | 57.40 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | KINGDOM OF RICHES | 1.3% | 79.79 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 33
PLACE
4 14
8 37.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
4,8 218
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 70.5
4,9 41
8,9 121.5
FORECAST
4,8 325
TIERCE
4,8,9 1,834
TRIO
4,8,9 434
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 792
QUARTET
4,8,9,12 13,425
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,14/4,8,9 36,156
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 267
6/8 156