沙田 · 2025-12-07 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-12-07沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的GLORY CLOUD勝出。COLOURFUL WINNER獲得亞軍；MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門COLOURFUL WINNER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD 1:09.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | COLOURFUL WINNER J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 4 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | VIVA CHALEUR B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | KING ALLOY R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | DOUBLE BINGO Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 11 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | SHOTGUN J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 1 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ALL ARE MINE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 12 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY M Guyon · C W Chang | M Guyon | C W Chang | 3 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CHEER FOR SOUTH C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 2 | 8.1 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 17.2% | 5.80 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | DOUBLE BINGO | 15.3% | 6.54 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 11.8% | 8.50 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | VIVA CHALEUR | 10.7% | 9.34 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE | 8.7% | 11.43 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | KING ALLOY | 7.5% | 13.33 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 7.0% | 14.20 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 6.2% | 16.06 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | ALL ARE MINE | 5.3% | 18.99 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 4.8% | 20.81 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.2% | 31.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | SHOTGUN | 2.2% | 45.12 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 116
PLACE
5 15.5
6 34.5
12 54.5
QUINELLA
5,6 189
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 69.5
5,12 127.5
6,12 331
FORECAST
6,5 653
TIERCE
6,5,12 8,904
TRIO
5,6,12 1,395
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 1,938
QUARTET
6,5,12,11 53,008
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
14/5 50.5
14/6 679.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,14/5,6,12 1,338,041