沙田 · 2025-12-07 · 07:05
第 5場
2025-12-07沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的WITH A SMILE勝出。FIT FOR BEAUTY獲得亞軍；POSITIVE SMILE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門FIT FOR BEAUTY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WITH A SMILE 後段發力 1:22.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 7 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | BETTER AND BETTER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | RELIABLE DAD 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 9 | 52.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING DATA 後段發力 E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | TOP TO SKY 早段領放 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | STAR ELEGANCE 後段發力 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 8 | 117.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 10 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | LAHORE L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 1 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | STAR GLOW R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 14 | 81.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | WIN SPEED L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 11 | 16.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 4 | FLYING TING LOK M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 56.0 | 30-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 26.9% | 3.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | WITH A SMILE | 19.9% | 5.03 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | BETTER AND BETTER | 13.2% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNING DATA | 7.3% | 13.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 6.9% | 14.44 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | LAHORE | 4.9% | 20.26 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 4.8% | 21.04 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE | 4.7% | 21.12 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | FLYING TING LOK | 2.8% | 35.58 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | WIN SPEED | 2.8% | 35.86 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | RELIABLE DAD | 2.0% | 50.24 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | TOP TO SKY | 1.6% | 60.70 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | STAR ELEGANCE | 1.3% | 78.44 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | STAR GLOW | 1.0% | 105.14 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 38
PLACE
2 15
3 14
12 41
QUINELLA
2,3 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 24.5
2,12 93.5
3,12 78
FORECAST
2,3 120
TIERCE
2,3,12 994
TRIO
2,3,12 237
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 213
QUARTET
2,3,12,11 4,459
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
3/4/2 20,650
3/4/3 2,282
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 564.5
4/3 55.5