沙田 · 2025-12-07 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-12-07沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、J Size訓練的WUKONG JEWELLERY勝出。TOP PEAK獲得亞軍；FORTUNE KINGO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門QUICK CONTRIBUTION跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WUKONG JEWELLERY 後段發力 1:22.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 17.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | TOP PEAK K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FORTUNE KINGO 後段發力 R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 4 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CITY THUNDER Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | KYRUS TREASURE 後段發力 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT 早段領放 J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 9 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 4.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | FLYING KNIGHT 後段發力 H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 13 | 65.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JUBILANT WINNER B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPERB GUY A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 14 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SALUTE KING PRAWN Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 105.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | APPEALING CITY M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 8 | 114.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | GOOD FORTUNE M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 13.0 | 35-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CITY THUNDER | 22.5% | 4.45 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 14.2% | 7.04 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | TOP PEAK | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | JUBILANT WINNER | 10.4% | 9.66 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 7.1% | 14.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 6.5% | 15.43 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | KYRUS TREASURE | 4.6% | 21.59 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPERB GUY | 3.9% | 25.47 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | GOOD FORTUNE | 3.9% | 25.78 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | FLYING KNIGHT | 2.6% | 38.35 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNE KINGO | 1.7% | 60.16 | 3 |
| 13 | 14 | APPEALING CITY | 1.2% | 86.52 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | SALUTE KING PRAWN | 1.0% | 96.41 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 179
PLACE
4 50.5
5 99
10 25
QUINELLA
4,10 672
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 680
4,10 212.5
5,10 349.5
FORECAST
4,10 1,559
TIERCE
4,10,5 24,248
TRIO
4,5,10 3,456
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 13,340
QUARTET
4,10,5,12 304,648
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/4,5,10 1,124,574
3RD DOUBLE
3/4 5,420
3/10 688.5