沙田 · 2025-12-07 · 08:10
第 7場
2025-12-07沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的NOTTHESILLYONE勝出。VULCANUS獲得亞軍；STAR FIGURE獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門KA YING RESILIENCE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NOTTHESILLYONE 1:08.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | VULCANUS H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 9.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | STAR FIGURE J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 7 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SIGHT DREAMER M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 5 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | DAILY TROPHY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | KA YING RESILIENCE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 4.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT GOGO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION M Guyon · K L Man | M Guyon | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HINOKAMI KAGURA M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 9 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | THE ALL ROUNDER A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 71.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SOLO LEVELLING K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 7.2 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SOLO LEVELLING | 17.6% | 5.68 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 14.9% | 6.72 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | STAR FIGURE | 12.4% | 8.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 8.7% | 11.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 8.6% | 11.70 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | VULCANUS | 7.4% | 13.46 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 7.0% | 14.22 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | DAILY TROPHY | 6.6% | 15.07 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SIGHT DREAMER | 6.2% | 16.19 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT GOGO | 3.3% | 29.88 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 2.0% | 49.92 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 62
PLACE
1 26
7 30.5
11 22
QUINELLA
1,11 264
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 181.5
1,11 93
7,11 159
FORECAST
11,1 537
TIERCE
11,1,7 5,877
TRIO
1,7,11 989
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 1,371
QUARTET
11,1,7,12 38,210
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 168
6/11 635.5