沙田 · 2025-12-07 · 08:45
第 8場
2025-12-07沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的GORGEOUS WIN勝出。SING DRAGON獲得亞軍；SWIFT ASCEND獲得季軍。4.8倍大熱門TALENTS AMBITION跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GORGEOUS WIN 1:08.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 16.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SING DRAGON K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 10 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SWIFT ASCEND H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 7 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | RED ELEGANCE M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 62.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED M Guyon · D A Hayes | M Guyon | D A Hayes | 9 | 34.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | CALL ME GLORIOUS M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 33.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 55.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 22.8% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION | 14.5% | 6.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | SING DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 11.0% | 9.06 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 7.4% | 13.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SWIFT ASCEND | 6.7% | 15.02 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | GORGEOUS WIN | 5.9% | 16.96 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.2% | 23.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.0% | 33.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | RED ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 36.72 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 2.5% | 40.55 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 164
PLACE
5 45.5
6 16.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
5,6 384
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 124
5,12 150
6,12 49
FORECAST
5,6 938
TIERCE
5,6,12 5,749
TRIO
5,6,12 665
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 830
QUARTET
5,6,12,3 26,207
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/5,6,12 142,854
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 1,506.5
11/6 55.5