Sha Tin · 2025-12-07 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-07 was Class 2 over 1200m. GORGEOUS WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with SING DRAGON second and SWIFT ASCEND third. The 4.8 favourite TALENTS AMBITION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GORGEOUS WIN 1:08.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 16.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SING DRAGON K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 10 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SWIFT ASCEND H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 7 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | RED ELEGANCE M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 62.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED M Guyon · D A Hayes | M Guyon | D A Hayes | 9 | 34.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | CALL ME GLORIOUS M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 33.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 55.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 22.8% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | TALENTS AMBITION | 14.5% | 6.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | SING DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 11.0% | 9.06 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 7.4% | 13.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 6.7% | 14.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SWIFT ASCEND | 6.7% | 15.02 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | GORGEOUS WIN | 5.9% | 16.96 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.2% | 23.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.0% | 33.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | RED ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 36.72 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 2.5% | 40.55 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 164
PLACE
5 45.5
6 16.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
5,6 384
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 124
5,12 150
6,12 49
FORECAST
5,6 938
TIERCE
5,6,12 5,749
TRIO
5,6,12 665
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 830
QUARTET
5,6,12,3 26,207
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/5,6,12 142,854
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 1,506.5
11/6 55.5