Sha Tin · 2025-12-07 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-07 was Class 5 over 1650m. FOREMOST TEDDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won, with HAILTOTHEVICTORS second and PHANTOM CYCLONE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite COURIER MAGIC finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY Wire to wire 1:39.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 11 | 57.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly M Guyon · K H Ting | M Guyon | K H Ting | 8 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSILE H Bowman · B Crawford | H Bowman | B Crawford | 4 | 4.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 14 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | GO GO GO D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 1 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | COSMO LIGHT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 2.9 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BINGO BABE Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 76.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART TRIO K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 82.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | TURF PHOENIX R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 6 | 49.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 12 | 9.3 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | EURO ROCKS H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPER PACE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 91.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 19.4% | 5.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | COURIER MAGIC | 17.2% | 5.82 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 15.1% | 6.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | MEEPMEEP | 9.5% | 10.48 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | GO GO GO | 8.1% | 12.34 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | EURO ROCKS | 5.4% | 18.36 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 5.2% | 19.14 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 4.2% | 23.84 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | COSMO LIGHT | 3.6% | 28.10 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 3.1% | 31.78 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER PACE | 2.7% | 37.48 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | SMART TRIO | 2.5% | 39.69 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.3% | 43.67 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | BINGO BABE | 1.7% | 59.70 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 49
PLACE
2 144
10 67
14 18
QUINELLA
2,14 1,686
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 1,563.5
2,14 501
10,14 161.5
FORECAST
14,2 2,458
TIERCE
14,2,10 51,512
TRIO
2,10,14 10,396
FIRST 4
2,7,10,14 8,406
QUARTET
14,2,10,7 384,359