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Sha Tin · 2025-12-07 · 14:34

Race 4

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:22.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 WUKONG JEWELLERY Closed strongly 1:22.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size 11 17.0 —
2 10 TOP PEAK K Teetan · B Crawford 3 7.4 2
3 5 FORTUNE KINGO Closed strongly R Kingscote · K H Ting 4 40.0 2-1/4
4 12 VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly C L Chau · P F Yiu 1 7.3 2-3/4
5 3 CITY THUNDER Z Purton · W Y So 7 5.8 3-1/4
6 8 KYRUS TREASURE Closed strongly L Ferraris · D Eustace 2 14.0 4-1/4
7 7 INCREDIBLE MOMENT Led early J Orman · M Newnham 9 5.8 5
8 13 QUICK CONTRIBUTION Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 5 4.5 5-3/4
9 2 FLYING KNIGHT Closed strongly H Bentley · W K Mo 13 65.0 6-1/4
10 1 JUBILANT WINNER B Avdulla · J Richards 12 12.0 8
11 11 SUPERB GUY A Atzeni · K W Lui 14 23.0 8
12 9 SALUTE KING PRAWN Y L Chung · C S Shum 6 105.0 9
13 14 APPEALING CITY M L Yeung · D J Whyte 8 114.0 16-1/2
14 6 GOOD FORTUNE M Guyon · P C Ng 10 13.0 35-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-07 was Class 4 over 1400m. WUKONG JEWELLERY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won, with TOP PEAK second and FORTUNE KINGO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite QUICK CONTRIBUTION finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WUKONG JEWELLERY—2. TOP PEAK+2L3. FORTUNE KINGO+2.25L4. VOLCANIC SPARK+2.75L5. CITY THUNDER+3.25L6. KYRUS TREASURE+4.25L7. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+5L8. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+5.75L9. FLYING KNIGHT+6.25L10. JUBILANT WINNER+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CITY THUNDER (22.5%) finished 5th — the winner WUKONG JEWELLERY was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CITY THUNDER 22.5% 4.45 5
2 13 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 14.2% 7.04 8
3 10 TOP PEAK 12.0% 8.31 2
4 1 JUBILANT WINNER 10.4% 9.66 10
5 4 WUKONG JEWELLERY 8.5% 11.81 1
6 7 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 7.1% 14.11 7
7 12 VOLCANIC SPARK 6.5% 15.43 4
8 8 KYRUS TREASURE 4.6% 21.59 6
9 11 SUPERB GUY 3.9% 25.47 11
10 6 GOOD FORTUNE 3.9% 25.78 14
11 2 FLYING KNIGHT 2.6% 38.35 9
12 5 FORTUNE KINGO 1.7% 60.16 3
13 14 APPEALING CITY 1.2% 86.52 13
14 9 SALUTE KING PRAWN 1.0% 96.41 12
CITY THUNDERQUICK CONTRIBUTIONTOP PEAKJUBILANT WINNERWUKONG JEWELLERY — wonINCREDIBLE MOMENTVOLCANIC SPARKKYRUS TREASURESUPERB GUYGOOD FORTUNEFLYING KNIGHTFORTUNE KINGOAPPEALING CITYSALUTE KING PRAWN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 179

PLACE

4 50.5

5 99

10 25

QUINELLA

4,10 672

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 680

4,10 212.5

5,10 349.5

FORECAST

4,10 1,559

TIERCE

4,10,5 24,248

TRIO

4,5,10 3,456

FIRST 4

4,5,10,12 13,340

QUARTET

4,10,5,12 304,648

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,5/4,5,10 1,124,574

3RD DOUBLE

3/4 5,420

3/10 688.5