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Sha Tin · 2025-12-07 · 07:45

Race 6

Class 3 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-07 was Class 3 over 1000m. STELLAR EXPRESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with FAST RESPONDER second and LUCKY EIGHT third. The 3.7 favourite WE ARE HERO finished 8th.

Result

Official · 0:56.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 STELLAR EXPRESS 0:56.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 13 8.8
2 7 FAST RESPONDER M Guyon · D J Whyte 12 4.3 1-1/4
3 14 LUCKY EIGHT H T Mo · P F Yiu 3 13.0 2-1/2
4 2 HORSEPOWER L Ferraris · F C Lor 6 21.0 2-3/4
5 13 SPARKLING FELLOW M F Poon · D J Hall 2 11.0 2-3/4
6 9 PEGAS M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 14 46.0 2-3/4
7 4 SKY TRUST E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 4.6 2-3/4
8 5 WE ARE HERO J McDonald · K L Man 8 3.7 3
9 11 AKERMANIS GOLD A Atzeni · D Eustace 11 32.0 5
10 10 JOKER ORBIT Y L Chung · C S Shum 9 73.0 6-1/2
11 12 STARRY SHOW K Teetan · D A Hayes 1 27.0 7
12 3 WHIZZ KID H Bentley · A S Cruz 10 41.0 7-1/2
13 8 TACTICAL VICTORY M L Yeung · W Y So 5 57.0 11
14 1 BRAVE STAR C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 31.0 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STELLAR EXPRESS2. FAST RESPONDER+1.25L3. LUCKY EIGHT+2.5L4. HORSEPOWER+2.75L5. SPARKLING FELLOW+2.75L6. PEGAS+2.75L7. SKY TRUST+2.75L8. WE ARE HERO+3L9. AKERMANIS GOLD+5L10. JOKER ORBIT+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WE ARE HERO (25.1%) finished 8th — the winner STELLAR EXPRESS was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 WE ARE HERO 25.1% 3.98 8
2 7 FAST RESPONDER 13.2% 7.57 2
3 13 SPARKLING FELLOW 10.3% 9.75 5
4 14 LUCKY EIGHT 8.1% 12.41 3
5 1 BRAVE STAR 8.0% 12.42 14
6 4 SKY TRUST 7.8% 12.82 7
7 2 HORSEPOWER 5.3% 18.83 4
8 12 STARRY SHOW 4.7% 21.07 11
9 6 STELLAR EXPRESS 3.9% 25.35 1
10 11 AKERMANIS GOLD 3.5% 28.54 9
11 10 JOKER ORBIT 2.9% 34.61 10
12 8 TACTICAL VICTORY 2.6% 38.38 13
13 3 WHIZZ KID 2.3% 43.41 12
14 9 PEGAS 2.2% 45.69 6
WE ARE HEROFAST RESPONDERSPARKLING FELLOWLUCKY EIGHTBRAVE STARSKY TRUSTHORSEPOWERSTARRY SHOWSTELLAR EXPRESS — wonAKERMANIS GOLDJOKER ORBITTACTICAL VICTORYWHIZZ KIDPEGAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 88.5

PLACE

6 28

7 17.5

14 31.5

QUINELLA

6,7 178.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 65.5

6,14 165.5

7,14 108.5

FORECAST

6,7 370

TIERCE

6,7,14 4,472

TRIO

6,7,14 945

FIRST 4

2,6,7,14 3,529

QUARTET

6,7,14,2 60,786

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,12/6,7,14 16,326

5TH DOUBLE

2/6 383.5

2/7 36

TRIPLE TRIO

4,5,10/2,3,12/6,7,14 1,222,293

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,10/2,3,12/Any Combination 11,119