跑馬地 · 2025-12-17 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-12-17跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由R Kingscote策騎、C S Shum訓練的FLASH STAR勝出。LOVING VIBES獲得亞軍；BITS SUPERSTAR獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門THUNDER PRINCE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FLASH STAR 1:09.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 8 | 41.0 | — |
| 2 | 8 | LOVING VIBES C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | BITS SUPERSTAR J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 4 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MEGA BONUS K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 12 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB BOY J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | KING OBERON L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 2.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 2 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ALABAMA SONG B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | THE PROMISE M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 97.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE | 38.2% | 2.62 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 12.4% | 8.08 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | LOVING VIBES | 11.4% | 8.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | KING OBERON | 11.0% | 9.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 8.9% | 11.21 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 4.8% | 20.65 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 4.2% | 24.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | ALABAMA SONG | 3.0% | 33.30 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPERB BOY | 2.4% | 42.16 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP | 1.5% | 65.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | FLASH STAR | 1.3% | 76.76 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | THE PROMISE | 0.9% | 112.41 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 412
PLACE
7 25
8 23.5
12 86.5
QUINELLA
8,12 2,100
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 109
7,12 398.5
8,12 511.5
FORECAST
12,8 4,361
TIERCE
12,8,7 34,407
TRIO
7,8,12 4,543
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 10,935
QUARTET
12,8,7,5 386,663
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/6/8 2,205
1/6/12 72,806
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,10/7,8,12 334,193
4TH DOUBLE
6/8 72
6/12 3,313.5